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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">guuvest</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вестник университета</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Vestnik Universiteta</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1816-4277</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2686-8415</issn><publisher><publisher-name>State University of Management</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26425/1816-4277-2020-8-41-47</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">guuvest-2345</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ВОПРОСЫ УПРАВЛЕНИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>CURRENT ISSUES OF MANAGEMENT</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>ТЕНДЕНЦИИ БИЗНЕС-РЕШЕНИЙ В РАЗВИТИИ ИНТЕЛЛЕКТУАЛЬНОГО ПРОИЗВОДСТВА</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>BUSINESS DECISION TRENDS IN THE INTELLECTUAL PRODUCTION DEVELOPMENT</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1881-4630</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Шинкевич</surname><given-names>А. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Shinkevich</surname><given-names>A. I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Шинкевич Алексей Иванович д-р экон. наук </p><p>г. Казань</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Shinkevich Alexey Doctor of Economic Sciences </p><p>Kazan</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ashinkevich@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2467-8874</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кудрявцева</surname><given-names>С. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kudryavtseva</surname><given-names>S. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Кудрявцева Светлана Сергеевна д-р экон. наук </p><p>г. Казань</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Kudryavtseva Svetlana Doctor of Economic Sciences </p><p>Kazan</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">sveta516@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2808-4272</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Шинкевич</surname><given-names>М. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Shinkevich</surname><given-names>M. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Шинкевич Марина Владимировна д-р экон. наук </p><p>г. Казань</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Shinkevich Marina Doctor of Economic Sciences </p><p>Kazan</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">leotau@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФГБОУ ВО «Казанский национальный исследовательский технологический университет»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Kazan National Research Technological University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>23</day><month>09</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>8</issue><fpage>41</fpage><lpage>47</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Шинкевич А.И., Кудрявцева С.С., Шинкевич М.В., 2020</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Шинкевич А.И., Кудрявцева С.С., Шинкевич М.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Shinkevich A.I., Kudryavtseva S.S., Shinkevich M.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/2345">https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/2345</self-uri><abstract><p>Описаны основные тенденции и представлены системные характеристики интеллектуального производства: кастомизация продукции, интеграция продукта и услуги, которую он предоставляет, переход к комплексным решениям и обслуживанию, массовая персонификация при сокращении удельного веса затрат на единицу выпускаемой продукции и времени ожидания заказа клиентом. Выявлены ключевые составляющие трансформации бизнес-моделей управления в условиях четвертой промышленной революции. Проведен кросскорреляционный и регрессионный анализ для индикаторов высокотехнологичного производства. Построен базовый, оптимистичный и пессимистичный прогноз изменения доли высокотехнологичной и наукоемкой продукции в валовом внутреннем продукте в зависимости от прироста высокопроизводительных рабочих мест. Представленный в статье анализ развития интеллектуального производства, а также результаты моделирования могут быть использованы при построении прогнозных трендов экономики в условиях перехода к четвертой промышленной революции.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The main trends have been described and the system characteristics of intellectual production have been presented: customization of products, integration of the product and the service it provides, the transition to integrated solutions and services, mass personification while reducing the share of costs per unit of output and customer waiting time for an order. The key components of the transformation of business management models in the fourth industrial revolution have been identified. Cross-correlation and regression analysis for indicators of high-tech production have been made. A basic, optimistic and pessimistic forecast of changes in the share of high-tech and technology products in the gross domestic product, depending on the growth of high-performance jobs, has been built. The analysis of the development of intellectual production presented in the article, as well as the results of modeling can be used in the construction of forecast trends of the economy in the transition to the fourth industrial revolution.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>аддитивное производство</kwd><kwd>бизнес-модель</kwd><kwd>высокопроизводительные рабочие места</kwd><kwd>высокотехнологичная продукция</kwd><kwd>интеллектуальное производство</kwd><kwd>моделирование</kwd><kwd>модель управления</kwd><kwd>наукоемкая продукция</kwd><kwd>четвертая промышленная революция</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>additive production</kwd><kwd>business model</kwd><kwd>fourth industrial revolution</kwd><kwd>high-performance jobs</kwd><kwd>high-tech products</kwd><kwd>intellectual production</kwd><kwd>management model</kwd><kwd>modeling</kwd><kwd>technology products</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Исследование выполнено в рамках гранта Президента РФ по государственной поддержке ведущих научных школ РФ № НШ-2600.2020.6.</funding-statement><funding-statement xml:lang="en">The study was performed in the framework of the grant of the President of the Russian Federation for state support of leading scientific schools of the Russian Federation No. NSh-2600.2020.6.</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Брижак, О. 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