guuvestВестник университетаVestnik Universiteta1816-42772686-8415State University of Management10.26425/1816-4277-2023-7-171-177guuvest-4619Research ArticleЭКОНОМИКА: ПРОБЛЕМЫ, РЕШЕНИЯ И ПЕРСПЕКТИВЫECONOMICS: PROBLEMS, SOLUTIONS AND PROSPECTSРетроспективный взгляд на глобальные рецессии и современные тренды роста мировой экономикиA retrospective look at global recessions and modern trends in the world economic growthhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9325-7504СмирновЕ. Н.SmirnovE. N.

Смирнов Евгений Николаевич - д-р экон. наук, проф., зав. каф. мировой экономики и международных экономических отношений

г. Москва

Evgenii N. Smirnov - Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Prof., Head at the World Economy and International Economic Relations Department,

Moscow

Smirnov_en@mail.ruГосударственный университет управленияРоссияState University of ManagementRussian Federation20230409202307171177Copyright © Смирнов Е.Н., 20232023Смирнов Е.Н.Smirnov E.N.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/4619

Целью исследования является анализ динамики глобальных рецессий и трендов мирового экономического роста за последние десятилетия для выявления их основных детерминант и специфики в контексте экономической динамики мирового хозяйства. В статье представлены систематизация и классификация этапов глобального экономического роста в ретроспективе, а также проведено сравнение современных трендов развития мировой экономики с предыдущими глобальными кризисами. Установлено, что современные условия преодоления кризисов существенно отличаются от тех условий, которые наблюдались 40 лет назад. Показано, что в последние десятилетия глобальные кризисы стали каскадными и в большей степени воздействуют на волатильность мировых рынков, делая инфляционные шоки более резкими, а монетарную политику стран и глобальные финансовые условия более жесткими.

The aim of the study is to analyze the dynamics of global recessions and world economic growth trends in recent decades in order to identify their main determinants and specifics in the context of the world economy dynamics. The article provides a systematization and classification of the global economic growth stages in retrospect, as well as a comparison of current trends in the development of the world economy with previous global crises. It has been established that the current conditions for the crises’ overcoming are significantly different from those conditions that were observed 40 years ago. It is shown, that in recent decades global crises have become cascading and have a greater impact on the volatility of world markets, making inflationary shocks sharper, and the monetary policy of countries and global financial conditions tougher.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.