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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">guuvest</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вестник университета</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Vestnik Universiteta</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1816-4277</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2686-8415</issn><publisher><publisher-name>State University of Management</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26425/1816-4277-2024-3-5-10</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">guuvest-5152</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>СТРАТЕГИИ И ИННОВАЦИИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>STRATEGIES AND INNOVATIONS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Использование нейронных сетей при проведении форсайта</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>The use of neural networks in the foresight process</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0000-6366-7185</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Алексеев</surname><given-names>А. О.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Alekseev</surname><given-names>A. O.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Алексеев Александр Олегович - начальник центра методологии корпоративного управления,</p><p>г. Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Aleksandr O. Alekseev - Head of the Corporate Governance Methodology Centre</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">a.alekseev@econom.gazprom.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5130-8222</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Линник</surname><given-names>В. Ю.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Linnik</surname><given-names>V. Yu.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Линник Владимир Юрьевич - д-р экон. наук, проф. каф. экономики и управления в топливно-энергетическом комплексе,</p><p>г. Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Vladimir Yu. Linnik - Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Prof. at the Economics and Management in the Fuel and Energy Complex Department,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">vy_linnik@guu.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0005-7160-5976</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Чушкина</surname><given-names>В. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Chushkina</surname><given-names>V. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Чушкина Вера Владимировна - студент,</p><p>г. Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Vera V. Chushkina - student,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">chushkina.vera@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Общество с ограниченной ответственностью «НИИгазэкономика»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Limited Liability Company “NIIgazekonomika”</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Государственный университет управления</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>State University of Management</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2024</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>08</day><month>05</month><year>2024</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>5</fpage><lpage>10</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Алексеев А.О., Линник В.Ю., Чушкина В.В., 2024</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2024</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Алексеев А.О., Линник В.Ю., Чушкина В.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Alekseev A.O., Linnik V.Y., Chushkina V.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/5152">https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/5152</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье рассмотрены сценарии применения нейронных сетей (далее – нейросеть) различных архитектур для выполнения задач в процессе форсайта. Цель статьи – определить, на каких этапах проведения процедуры форсайта оправдано применение нейросетей и с какой архитектурой. Раскрываются различия между форсайтом и процессом прогнозирования. Кроме того, рассмотрено понятие форсайта, его основные стадии и этапы, классификация. Обосновано, что применение нейросетей может значительно облегчить процедуру форсайта на таких этапах, как сбор и обработка первичной информации, разработка сценариев и вариантов решения проблем, коммуникация и подготовка отчетов. Показано, что для разных задач форсайта подходят разные типы нейросетей. Выявлено, что нейросети способны обработать больший объем данных и автоматически обнаруживать сложные закономерности, что делает их более эффективными в условиях неопределенности и изменчивости окружающей среды. Также подчеркнута важность дальнейших исследований и развития методов применения нейросетей в форсайт-процессах с учетом специфики конкретных отраслей и видов задач. При работе над статьей были использованы такие аналитические методы исследования, как диагностика, установление причинно-следственных связей и т.д.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The article considers scenarios of application of neural networks of different architectures to fulfill tasks in the foresight process. The purpose of the article is to determine at what stages of the foresight procedure the application of neural networks is justified and with what architecture. The differences between foresight and the process of forecasting are revealed. In addition, the concept of foresight, its main stages and phases, classification are considered. It is substantiated that the application of neural networks can significantly facilitate the foresight procedure at such stages as collection and processing of primary information, development of scenarios and solutions to problems, communication, and report preparation. It is shown that different types of neural networks are suitable for different foresight tasks. It is revealed that neural networks can process a larger amount of data and automatically detect complex patterns, which makes them more effective under conditions of environmental uncertainty and variability. The article ephasises the importance of further research and development of methods for applying neural networks in foresight processes with consideration to the specifics of particular industries and types of tasks. In the course of the research, the authors used analytical methods of diagnostics, establishing cause-and-effect relationships, etc.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Форсайт</kwd><kwd>искусственный интеллект</kwd><kwd>нейронные сети</kwd><kwd>видение будущего</kwd><kwd>этапы форсайта</kwd><kwd>анализ данных</kwd><kwd>корпоративный форсайт</kwd><kwd>тренды</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Foresight</kwd><kwd>artificial intelligence</kwd><kwd>neural networks</kwd><kwd>vision of the future</kwd><kwd>foresight stages</kwd><kwd>data analysis</kwd><kwd>corporate foresight</kwd><kwd>trends</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Keenan M., Popper R., Alexandrova M., Marinova D. Practical guide for integrating foresight in research infrastructures policy formulation. 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