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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">guuvest</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вестник университета</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Vestnik Universiteta</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1816-4277</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2686-8415</issn><publisher><publisher-name>State University of Management</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26425/1816-4277-2025-10-165-177</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">guuvest-6569</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ЭКОНОМИКА: ПРОБЛЕМЫ, РЕШЕНИЯ И ПЕРСПЕКТИВЫ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ECONOMICS: PROBLEMS, SOLUTIONS AND PROSPECTS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Измерение вклада сельскохозяйственного сектора в ВВП Алжира: исследование с использованием модели ARDL</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Measuring the contribution of the agricultural sector to the GDP in Algeria:a study using the ARDL model</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0003-6604-9544</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бельфодил</surname><given-names>К.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Belfodil</surname><given-names>K.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Бельфодил Камель - Профессор-лектор</p><p>г. Релизан</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Kamel Belfodil - Professor Lecturer</p><p>Relizane</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">kamel.belfodil@univ-relizane.dz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9851-2033</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бугетайи</surname><given-names>С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Bouguetaia</surname><given-names>S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Бугетайи Суфиани - Профессор-лектор</p><p>г. Релизан</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Soufyane Bouguetaia - Professor Lecturer </p><p>Relizane</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">soufyane.bouguetaia@univ-relizane.dz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0003-5827-4338</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мезуаги</surname><given-names>Д.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mezouaghi</surname><given-names>D.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Мезуаги Джилали - Профессор-лектор</p><p>г. Релизан</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Djilali Mezouaghi - Professor Lecturer</p><p>Relizane </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">djilali.mezouaghi@univ-relizane.dz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Университет Релизана</institution><country>Алжир</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>University of Relizane</institution><country>Algeria</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2025</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>16</day><month>12</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>1</volume><issue>10</issue><fpage>165</fpage><lpage>177</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Бельфодил К., Бугетайи С., Мезуаги Д., 2025</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Бельфодил К., Бугетайи С., Мезуаги Д.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Belfodil K., Bouguetaia S., Mezouaghi D.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/6569">https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/6569</self-uri><abstract><p>Проанализирован вклад сельскохозяйственного сектора в рост валового внутреннего продукта Алжира за период с 1999 г. по 2022 г. с использованием модели ARDL (авторегрессионной модели с распределенным лагом) в качестве основного аналитического инструмента. Целью настоящего исследования является оценка краткосрочной и долгосрочной динамики между сельскохозяйственным производством и экономической эффективностью. Предварительный анализ показал, что используемые в исследовании переменные обладают различной степенью стационарности, что потребовало корректного выбора лагов. Метод граничного тестирования подтвердил существование долгосрочной равновесной связи между переменными, что свидетельствует о том, что краткосрочные колебания в аграрном секторе могут трансформироваться в устойчивые долгосрочные последствия для валового внутреннего продукта. Наиболее подходящей оказалась модель ARDL (3,3), отражающая динамичное и значительное взаимодействие между сельским хозяйством и экономическим ростом. Полученные результаты подчеркивают важную роль сельского хозяйства как движущей силы устойчивого развития Алжира. Исследование предполагает, что целевые инвестиции и стратегические реформы в аграрной сфере могут усилить его роль в диверсификации экономики, обеспечении продовольственной безопасности и долгосрочной стабильности.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The contribution of the agricultural sector to GDP growth in Algeria over the period 1999–2022, employing the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model as the primary analytical tool has been investigated. The purpose of the study is to assess the short- and long-run dynamics between agricultural output and economic performance. The preliminary analysis showed that the variables used in the study exhibited different levels of stationarity, which required proper lag selection. The bounds testing approach confirmed the existence of a long-term equilibrium relationship, indicating that short-term fluctuations in the agricultural sector can translate into sustained long-term impacts on GDP. The most appropriate model has been found to be ARDL (3,3), reflecting a dynamic and significant interaction between agriculture and economic growth. These findings emphasize the critical role of agriculture as a driver of sustainable development in Algeria. The study suggests that targeted investments and strategic reforms in the agricultural sector could reinforce its role in economic diversification, food security, and long-term stability.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>сельскохозяйственный сектор</kwd><kwd>ВВП</kwd><kwd>модель ARDL</kwd><kwd>степень запаздывания</kwd><kwd>оценка CM</kwd><kwd>экономическая диверсификация</kwd><kwd>продовольственная безопасность</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>agriculture sector</kwd><kwd>GDP</kwd><kwd>ARDL model</kwd><kwd>degree of delay</kwd><kwd>Estimat-ECM</kwd><kwd>economic diversification</kwd><kwd>food security</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Zlatou N., Hadachi H. The Developmental Components of the Algerian Agricultural Sector to Reach Economic Development. 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