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ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF ELECTRIC CONSUMPTION IN THE ALTAI TERRITORY

https://doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2018-7-97-103

Abstract

Power consumption is one of the most important indicators of the region’s development. For the forecast of power consumption, the trend methods - econometric and normative - is usually used. Each of the methods has its drawbacks and peculiarities. In the article the forecast of power consumption of the economy and population of the Altai Territory is calculated by various methods. The most significant factors and their influence on the region’s energy consumption are determined: gross regional product, investment volume and industrial production index, population wages, electricity tariffs. A high degree of convergence of the results of forecasts is determined.

About the Authors

A. Kurenkova
State University of Management
Russian Federation


N. Lyubimova
State University of Management
Russian Federation


References

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Review

For citations:


Kurenkova A., Lyubimova N. ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF ELECTRIC CONSUMPTION IN THE ALTAI TERRITORY. Vestnik Universiteta. 2018;(7):97-103. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2018-7-97-103

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ISSN 1816-4277 (Print)
ISSN 2686-8415 (Online)