Methodological aspects of the problem of measuring shadow activity in the economy
https://doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2021-7-159-167
Abstract
The relevance of the problem of measuring shadow activity and its significance for the purposes of macroeconomic analysis and forecasting is emphasized. The importance of forming an adequate methodological base for measuring shadow activity and developing an information support system for its research is substantiated. The existing approaches to the definition of shadow activity and methods of its measurement are analyzed. The possibility of building an information base and obtaining appropriate estimates of shadow activity on the basis of resource and use tables developed at the national level is evaluated. The possibility of using the resource approach as the most objective method of reflecting the volume and components of shadow activity at the sectoral and macro levels is studied. The conditions for the use of the resource approach are determined, taking into account the specifics of the industry features of the formation of output and intermediate consumption indicators. The possibility of constructing dynamic series of indicators constructed using the resource approach for analytical purposes is evaluated.
Keywords
macroeconomic indicators,
shadow activity,
features of shadow activity reflection,
shadow activity factors,
shadow activity accounting,
shadow activity composition,
shadow activity measurement methods,
resource approach,
cost indicators,
costs for single products,
shadow activity research information base
About the Authors
M. D. Khabib
State University of Management
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Cand. Sci. (Econ.),
Moscow
N. A. Abroskina
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Researcher,
Moscow
References
1. Decree of the President of the Russian Federation No. 208, dated on May 13, 2017 “On the Strategy of Economic Security of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2030”, Legal reference system “ConsultantPlus”. Available at: http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_216629/ (accessed 04.04.2021).
2. Order of the Government of the Russian Federation No. 1662-r, dated on November 17, 2008 (as amended, dated on September 28, 2018) “On the Concept of Long-Term Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2020”, Legal reference system “ConsultantPlus”. Available at: https://www.consultant.ru/cons_doc_LAW_308069/ (accessed 04.04.2021).
3. Botasheva L. Kh., Sarkisyan K. S., Identification and assessment of the shadow economy: methodological aspect, Ekonomika. Nalogi. Pravo, 2018, vol. 11, no. 5, pp. 28–37. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.26794/1999-849X2018-11-5-28-37
4. System of National Accounts 2008, European Commission, IMF, OECD, UN, The World Bank, New York, 2009, 827 p. (In Russian).
5. Federal State Statistics Service. Available at: http://www.rosstat.gov.ru/ (accessed 04.04.2021).
6. Kelmanson B., Kirabaeva K., Medina L., Mircheva B., Weiss J. Explaining the shadow economy in Europe: size, causes and policy options: Working paper no. 19/278, International Monetary Fund. Available at: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2019/12/13/Explaining-the-Shadow-Economy-in-Europe-Size-Causes-and-Policy-Options-48821 (accessed 04.04.2021). https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513520698.001
7. Measuring the non-observed economy: A handbook, Paris, OECD Publishing, 2002, 233 p.
8. Medina L., Schneider F. Shedding light on the shadow economy: A global database and the interaction with the official one: Working Paper No. 7981, CESifo. Available at: https://www.cesifo.org/en/publikationen/2019/working-paper/shedding-light-shadow-economy-global-database-and-interaction (accessed 04.04.2021).
9. Johnson S., Kaufmann D., Zoido-Lobatón P. Regulatory discretion and the unofficial economy, The American Economic Review, 1998, vol. 88, no. 2, pp. 387–392.
10. Johnson S., Kaufmann D., Zoido-Lobatón P. Corruption, public finances and the unofficial economy: Policy Research Working Paper Series 2169, Washington, D.C., The World Bank, 1998. Available at: https://www.academia.edu/50550410/Corruption_Public_Finances_and_the_Unofficial_Economy (accessed 04.04.2021).
11. Putnins T. J., Sauka A. Shadow Economy Index for Russia, Stockholm School of Economics in Riga. Available at: https://www.sseriga.edu/shadow-economy-index-russia (accessed 04.04.2021).
12. Schneider F. Measuring the size and development of the shadow economy. Can the causes be found and the obstacles be overcome?, Essays on Economic Psychology, Ed. by H. Brandstätter, W. Güth. – Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer, 1994, pp. 193–212. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-48621-0_10
13. Stiglitz J. E., Pieth M. Overcoming the shadow economy: international policy analysis, Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung. Available at: https://www.fes.de/publikation-overcoming-the-shadow-economy (accessed 04.04.2021).
Review
For citations:
Khabib M.D., Abroskina N.A. Methodological aspects of the problem of measuring shadow activity in the economy. Vestnik Universiteta. 2021;(7):159-167. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2021-7-159-167
Views:
337
Email this article 