Fertility dynamics in Russia: assessment and forecast
https://doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2022-7-184-191
Abstract
Fertility rate is one of the key statistical indicators that needs to be tracked, analyzed in order to assess the current situation in the country and identify relevant trends as objectively as possible. The article analyzes the birth rate in Russia in recent years in the context of a 6-year period and identifies a trend in changing indicators of this phenomenon for subsequent years. In the course of the study, the author uses various statistical methods, such as horizontal analysis, the method of analytical alignment of the dynamic’s series and trend analysis, which allows an objective assessment of the current changes. The article emphasizes the importance of the analysis of the birth rate for the study of various demographic processes in the country, and also provides an overview of the development of this indicator in Russia.
Keywords
birth rate,
statistics,
forecasting,
Russia,
negative trends,
growth rates,
identification of patterns,
analytical alignment of series
Supporting agencies: I would like to express my gratitude to my scientific director Natalia I. Sokolova, Cand. Sci. (Ped.), associate professor of English Language and Professional Communication Department of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, for valuable advice in planning research and recommendations on the structure of the article.
About the Author
D. K. Sopov
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Daniil K. Sopov - Student
Moscow
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Review
For citations:
Sopov D.K. Fertility dynamics in Russia: assessment and forecast. Vestnik Universiteta. 2022;1(7):184-191. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2022-7-184-191
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