The Russian labor market in 2030: trends, prospects, tools, and mechanisms

Abstract

The article examines the state and development prospects of the Russian labor market until 2030 in the context of global economic and technological changes. Special attention has been paid to the issues of personnel support for the country’s technological development. The aim of the study is to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the current state and future trends of the Russian labor market, identify key challenges, and propose tools for achieving the national goal of technological leadership. The research is based on the analysis of statistical data, expert assessments, and labor market forecasts. Projected trends indicate a significant imbalance between the demand for and supply of labor by 2035. A growing shortage of qualified personnel in high‑tech industries has been identified, alongside an oversupply of university graduates in other fields. This situation affects the achievement of the Russian Federation’s (hereinafter referred to as the RF) key goal – technological leadership. This highlights the need for advanced personnel training, including the acquisition of new and promising competencies. The article proposes mechanisms for addressing personnel challenges through the creation of a career guidance system, the development of advanced engineering schools and youth laboratories, and the improvement of the education system in line with the needs of technological development. The study contributes to the understanding of future trends in the Russian labor market and may be useful for developing human capital strategies aimed at achieving the national goal of the RF – technological leadership.