Assessing the potential of international transport corridors in Russia’s foreign trade

The author’s analysis of the current state of Russia’s foreign trade and international trade within the framework of three international transport corridors (hereinafter referred to as ITC) – the North – South ITC, the Belt and Road Initiative and the Northern Sea Route – has been presented. Based on empirical data on the dynamics of trade turnover, transportation volumes, and infra structure projects, the prospects for developing these ITCs have been studied. The key risks, including military and political instability in the regions where the routes run, sanctions restrictions, and infrastructure restrictions, have been systematized. Special attention has been paid to the comparative assessment of the ITCs’ economic efficiency. It has been established that the Belt and Road Initiative demonstrates high turnover rates, however, for Russia, its potential is limited by sanctions barriers. The North – South ITC in 2022–2025 showed steady positive dynamics, but its functioning is complicated by the escalation of the conflict in the Persian Gulf zone. The Northern Sea Route is characterized by advantages in terms of delivery time and the economic component of transportation in comparison with the above-mentioned ITCs. The scientific novelty of the research lies in the systematization of factors influencing the transport and logistics potential development in Russia in the con text of geopolitical turbulence. Conclusions have been formulated about the most promising areas of development in Russia’s foreign trade in the con text of the global logistics system transformation and the commodity flows reorientation to the markets of the Global South and the Asia-Pacific region.

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