Statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility
https://doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2024-12-180-195
Abstract
The methodology for analyzing interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility has been proposed, approbation of which has been carried out on the basis of the modern system of statistical accounting, which allowed to form a unique system of statistical indicators of marriage and divorce. A number of indicators complement the traditional methodology of marriage and divorce tables calculation. The algorithms for obtaining the indicators proposed for implementation (in particular, the cumulative marriage rate of divorcees, the level of divorces compensation by legal remarriages, etc.) have been prescribed, and their estimations have been made, which substantiates the scientific significance of the study. The methodology makes it possible to assess the impact of marriage and divorce rates on fertility, to identify the impact of measures of state assistance to families on the change in the number of marriages, divorces, and births, and also makes it possible to justify new measures of demographic policy aimed at increasing the marriage rate and reducing the divorce rate. The author’s approach considers the current trends in the analyzed demographic processes characteristic of Russia, which determines its predictive capabilities. It indicates high practical significance of the research results in the context of the search for fertility growth reserves in the light of the implemented family and demographic policy and achieving Russia’s national development strategies.
About the Authors
A. B. Sinelnikov
Lomonosov Moscow State University; Scientific Research Institute on Problems of Socio-Economic Statistics of the Federal State Statistics Service
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Alexander B. Sinelnikov, Dr. Sci. (Sociol.), Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Prof. at the Sociology of Family and Demography Department; Chief Researcher
Moscow
O. A. Zolotareva
Scientific Research Institute on Problems of Socio-Economic Statistics of the Federal State Statistics Service; MIREA – Russian Technological University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Olga A. Zolotareva, Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Chief Researcher; Assoc. Prof. at the Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Management Department
Moscow
M. D. Khabib
Scientific Research Institute on Problems of Socio-Economic Statistics of the Federal State Statistics Service; State University of Management
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Marina D. Khabib, Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Leading Researcher; Assoc. Prof. at the Statistics Department
Moscow
References
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Review
For citations:
Sinelnikov A.B., Zolotareva O.A., Khabib M.D. Statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility. Vestnik Universiteta. 2024;(12):180-195. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2024-12-180-195
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